Seattle mayoral election, 2017

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Seattle mayoral election, 2017
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  Jenny Durkan at KEXP mayoral forum 02.jpg Cary Moon at KEXP mayoral forum 05.jpg
Candidate Jenny Durkan
(officially nonpartisan)
Cary Moon
(officially nonpartisan)
Party Democratic Democratic

Incumbent Mayor

Tim Burgess (appointed)
(officially nonpartisan)
Democratic



The top two candidates in the primary for the 2018–2021 term for Mayor of Seattle (completed in August) were former US Attorney Jenny Durkan and activist Cary Moon. Durkan went on to win the general election, completed on November 7, by about 15 percentage points.

The placement of Durkan and Moon in the general election ballot ensured that Seattle would have its first female mayor since Bertha Knight Landes was elected in 1926.[1] Durkan had a large lead over Moon after the preliminary general election ballot count, and Moon conceded the next day.[2] Durkan will take office on November 28, after the results are certified. Municipal elections are officially nonpartisan though most candidates have declared party affiliations.

The election for Seattle Mayor began with a top-two primary in which ballots were collected from July 12 through August 1, 2017, followed by the general election when ballots were returned from October 18 through November 7.

In the primary, leading candidates had included current and former officeholders Durkan, former State Representative Jessyn Farrell, former Mayor Mike McGinn, and State Senator Bob Hasegawa, all Democrats, and activists Nikkita Oliver and Moon. Fifteen lesser-known candidates were also on the primary ballot.[3][4]

Then-incumbent mayor Ed Murray initially sought re-election, but ended his campaign amid allegations of sexual abuse which led to his resignation in September 2017.[5][6] Background

Voting

Elections in Washington use a nonpartisan blanket primary which selects the top two candidates, whether endorsed by any party or not, to appear on the general election ballot, along with a write-in space. Washington elections have been vote-by-mail in every county since 1990.[7] Since there are no polling places, voting can only be done by absentee ballot, typically mailed to registered voters 20 days ahead of the election deadline, and returned by US Mail. Replacement ballots may be downloaded online and printed by the voter.[8] Designated ballot drop boxes are available as an alternative to mailing, and voters with disabilities can get assistance in person beginning 18 days before election day.[9][10] Mail in ballots must be postmarked by midnight of the election day, or delivered to the drop box by 8 pm.

The ballots for the 2017 primary were mailed on July 12, and the primary election day was August 1. King County Elections began posting results at 8:30 pm on that day, and plans to post updates to the vote count until the election's final results are certified on August 15.[11] General election ballots are scheduled to be mailed out on October 18, and drop boxes opened the following day.[11] The general Election Day is November 7, and results are scheduled to be certified on November 28.[11]

City politics

Ed Murray, a former state legislator, was elected Mayor of Seattle during the 2013 mayoral election, defeating incumbent Mike McGinn.[12] During Murray's first term in office, Seattle adopted a $15 hourly minimum wage, a citywide preschool program, a large transportation funding measure, and reforms within the Seattle Police Department after intervention from the United States Department of Justice.[6][13]

Ed Murray abuse lawsuit

In early April, several months before the primary election, a lawsuit was filed against Mayor Ed Murray, alleging sexual abuse of the plaintiff as a minor in the 1980s in exchange for drug money.[14] The allegations were denied by Murray, who initially said he would fight the suit and carry on his campaign, but decided to withdraw a month later because, he said, the Mayor's race should be about the needs of the city, not "a scandal, which it would be focused on, if I were to remain in".[15] The Seattle Times editorial board had said they feared dealing with the allegations during an election would weaken Murray to the point that an "extreme left-wing ideologue" could become Mayor, so Murray should withdraw from the race to "clear the way for another qualified, pragmatic leader to come forward".[16] The Stranger alt-weekly said that even though The Times mentioned Kshama Sawant as the kind of mayor they feared, they really meant lawyer and Black Lives Matter activist Nikkita Oliver.[17] Murray ended his campaign on May 9, after a fourth accuser was identified.[5]

Primary election

Candidates

Mike McGinn, left, with Tim Burgess, right
Nikkita Oliver
On final ballot

Seattle elections are officially nonpartisan but some candidates have a stated party affiliation.

Withdrawn
  • Peter Alcorn[32][33][18]
  • Prachant Bradwell[18]
  • David Ishii[18]
  • Ed Murray, incumbent mayor; withdrew May 9[5]
  • Andres Salomon, safe streets activist;[34] withdrew April 20[35]
  • Adam Star, attorney; withdrew April 28[27]
Declined

Political positions

Each candidate on the primary ballot was sent a questionnaire by The Seattle Times where they discussed their political positions.

  • Gary Brose — More traffic lanes for cars, remove homeless from public areas, fiscal discipline.[38]
  • Casey Carlisle — Address cost of living, traffic, and homelessness by deregulating developers, stronger property rights.[39]
  • Tiniell Cato — Remove race, creed, sexuality, income, etc., from government documents, applications and processes to eliminate inequality.[40]
  • Jenny Durkan — Emphasis on experience in delivering progressive results, success in police reform. Flexible solutions to housing affordability, homelessness.[41]
  • Jessyn Farrell — Legislative experience, progressive results in transportation, public school, helping workers. Addressing inequality, housing affordability.[42]
  • Thom Gunn — Limit growth, oppose Californication of Seattle.[23]
  • Greg Hamilton — Did not reply to ST's questionnaire, but has spoken out on property crime, homelessness and traffic. Work with developers.
  • Michael Harris — No new taxes, more bipartisanship and efficient government.[43]
  • Bob Hasegawa — Reclaim power for people from the wealthy. Long history in public office. Address inequality. Establish municipal bank to help build more housing. Manage city's rapid growth.[44]
  • Lewis A. Jones — Address cell phone cancer, pro-Russia, wind breaks to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, punish adultery to stop HIV[45]
  • Dave Kane — Did not reply to ST's questionnaire, has made no public statements
  • Harvey Lever — Use data and research to address homelessness, opioid addiction, education, health care.[46]
  • Mary Juanita Martin — Remedy housing, job, and crime issues by overturning capitalism, ending the rule of property owners[47]
  • Mike McGinn — Help lower and middle class without more regressive sales and property taxes. No new taxes until city budget fully reviewed. Effective management of details of government, not starting big projects[48]
  • Cary Moon — Experience as engineer, finding solutions for large urban systems, community activism. Non-car-centric transportation. Deep knowledge of city's issues.[49]
  • James W. Norton Jr. — Individualized solutions to homelessness. Government not listening to ordinary people.[50]
  • Larry Oberto — Fiscal accountability, address homelessness by requiring civility, make traffic flow better.[51]
  • Nikkita Oliver — Systemic change to address homelessness/displacement, better representation for marginalized communities/neighborhoods/small business, police reform, transit, wiser use of city resources.[52]
  • Jason Roberts — Budget reform, accountability.[53]
  • Alex Tsimerman — Did not reply to ST's questionnaire, but has spoken out saying Seattle is fascist, one-party rule, controlled by Jeff Bezos and Amazon. Support Donald Trump.
  • Keith Whiteman — Bail reform or pretrial detention reform, influence public debate without necessarily winning.[54]

Endorsements

Seattle City Council member Lisa Herbold said on June 6 that she did not intend to endorse anyone, while Bruce Harrell and Lorena González, both supporters of incumbent Ed Murray, have not commented since Murray withdrew. The other six City Council members have lined up behind either Durkan, Farrell, or Oliver.[56]

Opinion polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Mike
McGinn
Jenny
Durkan
Nikkita
Oliver
Bob
Hasegawa
Jessyn
Farrell
Cary
Moon
Gary
Brose
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA June 6–18, 2017 503 ± 4.5% 19% 14% 9% 8% 6% 3% 1% 11% 38%
Washington State Wire June 15–18, 2017 475 ± 4.0% 6% 30% 3% 9% 2% 4% 17% 28%

Results

Area chart of cumulative votes counted for top six candidates, and all others grouped, showing vote counts by date from August 1 through August 9, 2017[92]

Jenny Durkan and Cary Moon won the August 1 primary, with Durkan's 51,529 votes comprising 27.97% of the total, and Moon's 32,536 votes comprising 17.66%. Until the final result was certified on August 15, Moon's second-place finish was uncertain, with Nikkita Oliver running a close third with 17.02% of the total, or 31,366 votes, finishing 1,170 votes, or 0.63 percentage points behind Moon. The size of the top two candidates' leads shrank slightly as the daily counts were announced, but not enough to change the outcome. None of the three conceded, or claimed victory, until final tally. None of the leading candidates eliminated in the primary, Oliver, Farrell, O'Brien, or Hasegawa, had made any endorsements at that point.

The first day's preliminary count after the August 1 primary was 88,950 ballots, 19.18% of the 463,660 ballots sent to registered voters.[93] The leaders in this initial count were Jenny Durkan with 27,579 votes or 31.6% of the ballots counted so far, Cary Moon with 13,583 or 15.56%, and Nikkita Oliver with 12,126 or 13.9%. Jessyn Farrell had 10,308 votes (11.81%), Bob Hasegawa 7,526 (8.62%), and Mike McGinn 6,247 (7.16%). The remaining 15 candidates, and write-ins, totaled 9,899 votes, or 11.3%.[93] The Seattle Times, KUOW radio, and other local media predicted, after the initial count of about half what King County said was the expected turnout, that Seattle's next mayor would be a woman for the first time since Bertha Knight Landes was elected 91 years before, in 1926.[1] They said Durkan appeared certain to have her name on the general election ballot, while Moon and Oliver, and perhaps Farrell, were in a toss-up to make it through the primary.[1] The Stranger predicted that in the likely event of Moon or Oliver facing Durkan in the general, "Seattle's mayoral race will once again pit an establishment politician with deep Democratic ties against an outsider whose political influence grew from activism", whom Crosscut.com called "darlings of the left".[94][1][94] Erica C. Barnett called the result a rejection of backward-looking "taking back" Seattle (Hasegawa) and "keeping Seattle" (McGinn).[95]

By August 8, local media said Durkan and Moon appeared certain to have their names on the general election ballot, with 186,784 ballots counted representing 40.28% of registered voters, and about 1,200 Seattle ballots left. Most of the remaining ballots were awaiting signature challenges. Oliver had begun a campaign of 'ballot chasing', encouraging supporters whose ballots had been challenged to contact the elections office to defend them. Durkan and Moon said they supported Oliver's efforts to make sure every vote is counted. Durkan, with 27.96% was still secure in her position, while Moon's lead over Oliver had decreased to 1,362, larger than the number of remaining ballots. After an election is certified, a recount is mandatory when candidates are separated by very slim margins. Moon did not announce she had won, and Oliver did not concede.[96][97][98] Moon said she contacted Farrell, Hasegawa, McGinn, and Oliver to begin discussing working together. Oliver signaled that if Moon moved to the general she would support Moon, while the others are waiting for the final results.[97]

King County Elections certified the final result on August 15, with no significant changes from the late running totals, and Durkan and Moon remaining in the winning first and second positions. The 1,170 vote margin between Oliver and Moon met one of the criteria for an automatic recount, a separation of 2,000 or fewer votes, but the 0.63 percentage point difference was greater than the second criterion, a 0.5 or smaller percentage point margin. Oliver conceded after the results were announced, but did not endorse either Durkan or Moon, and said the Peoples Party would not be making any endorsements.[99][100]

Cary Moon and Jenny Durkan at a candidate forum on October 2, 2017
Primary
August 1, 2017, final result, excluding write-ins[101]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Jenny Durkan 51,529 27.97%
Cary Moon 32,536 17.66%
Nikkita Oliver 31,366 17.02%
Jessyn Farrell 23,160 12.57%
Bob Hasegawa 15,500 8.41%
Mike McGinn 12,001 6.51%
Gary Brose 3,987 2.16%
Harvey Lever 3,340 1.81%
Larry Oberto 3,089 1.68%
Greg Hamilton 1,706 0.93%
Michael Harris 1,401 0.76%
Casey Carlisle 1,309 0.71%
James W. Norton Jr. 988 0.54%
Thom Gunn 455 0.25%
Mary Juanita Martin 422 0.23%
Jason Roberts 405 0.22%
Lewis A. Jones 344 0.19%
Alex Tsimerman 253 0.14%
Keith J. Whiteman 174 0.10%
Tiniell Cato 170 0.09%
David Kane 114 0.06%
Total votes 184,249 100%

General election

Results

In the first preliminary returns, Durkan won nearly 61 percent of votes.[102] The Seattle Times called the election for Durkan, predicting that her lead was too large for Moon to overcome in the uncounted ballots.[102] King County Elections plans to finish counting ballots and certify the final result on November 28.

On November 8, Moon conceded to Durkan and offered her congratulations.[2]

General election
November 7, 2017, preliminary results (as of November 12)
pending final count due November 28
[103]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Jenny Durkan 108,410 57.48%
Cary Moon 80,190 42.52%
Total votes 188,600 100%

References

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    • Beekman, Daniel (August 1, 2017), "Seattle poised to elect first woman mayor since 1926; Durkan, Moon and Oliver lead the pack", The Seattle Times 
    • "Primary: Seattle will likely have first female mayor since 1928", KUOW, August 1, 2017 
    • Hsieh, Steven (August 2, 2017), "Woman For Mayor! Durkan, Moon and Oliver Make Strong Showings on Election Night", The Stranger (newspaper) 
    • Daniel Person, Casey Jaywork, Sara Bernard, Nathalie Graham, Kelton Sears, and Christy Carley (August 2, 2017), "Hanging With the Winners and Losers in Tuesday Night's Mayoral Primary; Durkan went German, McGinn went Vegan, and second place went way up in the air", Seattle Weekly 
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  103. ^ "Results: November 7, 2017 General Election". King County Elections. November 7, 2017. Retrieved November 12, 2017. 

External links

  • Municipal elections in Seattle, Washington (2017) at [Ballotpedia]
Official campaign websites
  • Gary Brose
  • Casey Carlisle
  • Tiniell Cato
  • Jenny Durkan
  • Thom Gunn
  • Jessyn Farrell
  • Greg Hamilton
  • Michael Harris
  • Bob Hasegawa
  • Harley Lever
  • Mike McGinn
  • Cary Moon
  • James Norton
  • Nikkita Oliver
  • Jason Roberts
  • Alex Tsimerman
  • Keith Whiteman
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