Saskatchewan general election, 2016

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Saskatchewan general election, 2016

← 2011 April 4, 2016 (2016-04-04) Next →

61 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan
31 seats needed for a majority
Turnout 57.8% [1]
  First party Second party
  Brad Wall at the 2016 Leaders Debate Cam Broten at the 2016 Leaders Debate
Leader Brad Wall Cam Broten
Party Saskatchewan New Democratic
Leader since March 15, 2004 March 9, 2013
Leader's seat Swift Current Saskatoon
Massey Place
(ran in Saskatoon Westview; lost)
Last election 49 seats, 64.25% 9 seats, 31.97%
Seats before 47 9
Seats won 51 10
Seat change Increase2 Increase1
Popular vote 270,776 131,137
Percentage 62.36% 30.20%
Swing Decrease1.89pp Decrease1.72pp

Saskatchewan Election 2016 Results Map.svg
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom of the map.

Premier before election

Brad Wall
Saskatchewan

Premier-designate

Brad Wall
Saskatchewan

The 28th Saskatchewan general election, was held on April 4, 2016, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan. The Lieutenant Governor dissolved the Legislature on March 8, 2016, setting the election date for April 4. The election resulted in the Saskatchewan Party winning its third majority government. This is the first time in 90 years that a party other than the Saskatchewan New Democratic Party (NDP) or its predecessor, the Saskatchewan Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) has won three consecutive majority governments in Saskatchewan. It is also the first time that a centre-right party has won three consecutive elections in the province.

Date

Under The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007 (Saskatchewan), the election "must be held" on the first Monday of November in the fourth calendar year following the previous election. As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be November 2, 2015. However, the act also provides that if the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the first Monday of the following April.[2] Under the federal fixed-term act, the 42nd general election occurred on October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately two weeks. Because the federal Conservatives called the election on August 2, 2015 for October 19, the Saskatchewan election was held on April 4, 2016, even though the Lieutenant Governor retained the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early on the Premier's advice.

Results

Due to an increase in the number of ridings (from 58 to 61), both parties increased their total number of seats.

The Saskatchewan Party maintained its sweep of the southern and central rural ridings, and also held on to a majority of seats in Regina and Saskatoon. The NDP seemed to have some momentum after winning federal seats for the first time in a decade at the 2015 federal election. However, it was unable to recover much of the ground it lost in its severe defeat of almost five years earlier. The NDP gained one seat each in Regina and Prince Albert but lost one in Saskatoon for an overall net gain of one seat, and for the second consecutive election saw its leader unseated in his own riding; Cam Broten was defeated in the reconfigured riding of Saskatoon Westview by a slim margin of 232 votes. The results reflected the opinion polling done prior to the election, with the popular vote falling within the margins of error, though the Saskatchewan Party won more seats than what was projected.[3]

Election summary

Summary of the April 4, 2016 Saskatchewan Legislature election
Party Leader Candidates[4] Seats Popular vote
2011 Dissol. 2016 +/- Votes % % change
Saskatchewan Brad Wall 61 49 47 51 +2 270,776 62.36% -1.89
New Democratic Cam Broten 61 9 9 10 +1 131,137 30.20% -1.72
Liberal Darrin Lamoureux 61 0 15,568 3.59% +3.03
Green Victor Lau 58 0 7,967 1.83% -1.04
Progressive Conservative Rick Swenson 18 0 5,571 1.28% +0.95
Western Independence Frank Serfas 4 0 318 0.07%
  Independent 5 0 1,693 0.39%
  Vacant 2 N/A
Total 268 58 58 61 433030 100%

Detailed analysis

Elections to the 28th Legislative Assembly of Saskatchewan – top 5 candidates from each riding, by party
Party Candidates 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Saskatchewan 61 51 10
New Democratic 61 10 50 1
Liberal 61 46 8 6
Green 58 4 47 5
Progressive Conservative 18 10 5 3
Western Independence 4 1 1
Independents 5 1 4

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Retiring incumbents

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Saskatchewan New Democratic Green Liberal PC Other
Forum Research April 1–2, 2016 PDF 60.8 30.1 3.3 5.5 0.4
Insights West March 31–April 2, 2016 HTML 61 29 4 4
Mainstreet Research March 31, 2016 HTML 60 31 5 4
Insightrix March 28–30, 2016 HTML 60 30 3 5 3
Insights West March 23–25, 2016 HTML 56 34 3 6
Insightrix March 14–16, 2016 HTML 61 29 2 6 2 0
Mainstreet Research March 15, 2016 HTML 53 35 4 8
Insightrix March 8–10, 2016 HTML 57 29 7
Mainstreet Research March 8, 2016 HTML 51 37 3 8
Forum Research March 7, 2016 PDF 57 33 3 7
Mainstreet Research March 1, 2016 HTML 55 33 3 9
Mainstreet Research February 23, 2016 HTML 52 34 4 10
Mainstreet Research February 11, 2016 HTML 56 32 4 8
Mainstreet Research January 4, 2016 HTML 59 28 3 7 2
Insightrix November 10–12, 2015 HTML 54 25 4 14 3
Mainstreet Research October 6, 2015 HTML 57 32 3 8
Oracle May 19–25, 2015 PDF 60.8 26.7 4.1 4.8 3.7
Insightrix April 7–9, 2015 HTML 58 31 3 6 2
Insightrix April 9–13, 2014 HTML 63.2 27.4 3.8 5.1 0.5
Insightrix July 6–13, 2013 HTML 60.1 28.7 6 5
Insightrix May 1–8, 2013 HTML 60.7 29.4 3 4
Insightrix June 4–8, 2012 HTML 60.8 29.4 4.3 1 0.2
2011 election November 7, 2011 PDF 64.25 31.97 2.87 0.56 0.33 0.02

Riding-by-riding results

People in bold represent cabinet ministers and the speaker. Party leaders are italicized. The symbols ** indicates MLAs who are not running again.

Northwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green PC
         
Athabasca   Philip Elliott
644
Buckley Belanger
1,756
Michael Wolverine
262
Max Morin
53
  Buckley Belanger
Cut Knife-Turtleford   Larry Doke
5,765
Danica Lorer
958
Rod Gopher
255
Tammy Fairley Saunders
90
Rick Cline
154
  Larry Doke
Lloydminster   Colleen Young
4,350
Michelle Oleksyn
432
Dolores Pahtayken
202
Lisa Grant
65
  Colleen Young
Meadow Lake   Jeremy Harrison
4,395
Dwayne Lasas
1,430
Eric McCrimmon
305
Eric Schalm
107
  Jeremy Harrison
Rosthern-Shellbrook   Scott Moe
4,792
Rose Freeman
1,288
Orrin M. Greyeyes
468
Jade Duckett
119
  Scott Moe
The Battlefords   Herb Cox
4,296
Rob Feist
2,260
Dexter Gopher
438
Josh Hunt
83
  Herb Cox

Northeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Batoche   Delbert Kirsch
4,471
Clayton DeBray
2,211
Graham Tweten
216
B Garneau I
103
  Delbert Kirsch
Canora-Pelly   Terry Dennis
4,318
Theresa Wilson
1,323
Kyle Budz
216
Rachel Gregoire
102
Merv Malish (PC)
414

David Sawkiw (WIP)
51

  Ken Krawetz**
Carrot River Valley   Fred Bradshaw
5,104
Sandy Ewen
1,369
Karalasingham Sadadcharam
131
Koreena Fibke
115
  Fred Bradshaw
Cumberland   Thomas Sierzycki
1,610
Doyle Vermette
3,375
George Morin
352
Michael Taylor-Lessard
79
  Doyle Vermette
Kelvington-Wadena   Hugh Nerlien
5,133
Dan Hiscock
1,354
Bernie Yuzdepski
132
Owen Swiderski
108
Tim Atchison (PC)
390

Walter Hrappsted (WIP)
218

  June Draude**
Melfort   Kevin Phillips
5,579
Linsey Thornton
1,406
Bruce Ber
150
Tanner Wallace
102
  Kevin Phillips
Prince Albert Carlton   Joe Hargrave
3,353
Shayne Lazarowich
2,670
Winston McKay
199
Asia Yellowtail
60
  Vacant
Prince Albert Northcote   Victoria Jurgens
2,491
Nicole Rancourt
2,752
Jonathan Fraser
272
Trace Yellowtail
88
  Victoria Jurgens
Saskatchewan Rivers   Nadine Wilson
4,584
Lyle Whitefish
2,010
Brenda McKnight
244
  Nadine Wilson

West Central Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Arm River   Greg Brkich
6,187
Denise Leduc
1,457
Russ Collicott
207
Dale Dewar
241
Raymond Carrick (PC)
338
  Greg Brkich
Arm River-Watrous
Biggar-Sask Valley   Randy Weekes
5,972
Dan Richert
1,453
Faiza Kanwal
194
Ryan Lamarche
162
  Randy Weekes
Biggar
Humboldt-Watrous   Donna Harpauer
5,818
Adam Duke
1,588
Robert Tutka
212
Lori Ellen Harper
187
  Donna Harpauer
Humboldt
Kindersley   Bill Boyd
4,802
Charles Jedlicka
522
Darren Donald
171
Jason Dearborn (Ind.)
1,249

Terry Smith (PC)
323

  Bill Boyd
Martensville-Warman   Nancy Heppner
6,854
Jasmine Calix
1,477
Michael McAteer
179
Darcy Robilliard
91
Pamela Spencer (WIP)
26
  Nancy Heppner
Martensville
Rosetown-Elrose   Jim Reiter
5,939
Glenn Wright
1,380
Adrian Janssens
146
Yvonne Potter Pihach
182
  Jim Reiter

Southwest Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green PC
         
Cypress Hills   Doug Steele
5,774
Barb Genert
875
Charles Tait
99
Marie Crowe
133
John Goohsen
382
  Wayne Elhard**
Lumsden-Morse   Lyle Stewart
6,256
Rhonda Phillips
1,655
Gerry Hiebert
242
Patricia Crowther
179
  Lyle Stewart
Thunder Creek
Moose Jaw North   Warren Michelson
4,425
Corey Atkinson
2,517
Brenda Colenutt
194
Caleb MacLowich
142
  Warren Michelson
Moose Jaw Wakamow   Greg Lawrence
3,514
Karen Purdy
2,819
Terry Gabel
182
Shaun Drake
106
  Greg Lawrence
Swift Current   Brad Wall
6,071
Hailey Clark
1,112
Glenn Smith
78
George Watson
103
  Brad Wall
Wood River   Dave Marit
6,125
Brenda Shenher
991
Edward Ives
191
Judy Mergel
200
Brian Archer
544
  Yogi Huyghebaert**

Southeast Saskatchewan

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Cannington   Dan D'Autremont
6,444
Nathaniel Cole
674
Patrick Dennie
133
Tierra Lemieux
133
Kurt Schmidt (PC)
245
  Dan D'Autremont
Estevan   Lori Carr
5,454
Tina Vuckovic
635
Oskar Karkabatov
118
Branden Schick
89
Paul Carroll (PC)
618

Cam Robock (Ind.)
91

  Doreen Eagles**
Indian Head-Milestone   Don McMorris
5,118
Ashley Nemeth
1,848
David Delainey
264
Andrea Huang
143
Sheila Olson (PC)
225
  Don McMorris
Last Mountain-Touchwood   Glen Hart
4,274
Mary Ann Harrison
1,572
David Buchocik
212
Justin Stranack
104
Rick Swenson (PC)
689

Frank J. Serfas (WIP)
23

  Glen Hart
Melville-Saltcoats   Warren Kaeding
5,311
Leonard Dales
1,595
Igor Riabchyk
138
Diana Lowe (PC)
192

Trever Ratti (Ind.)
65

  Bob Bjornerud**
Moosomin   Steven Bonk
5,142
Ashlee Hicks
1,032
Janice Palmer
191
Kate Ecklund
244
Lloyd Hauser (PC)
284

Trevor Bearance (Ind.)
218

  Don Toth**
Weyburn-Big Muddy   Dustin Duncan
6,177
Karen Wormsbecker
1,260
Dylan Hart
122
Barry Dickie
155
Glenn Pohl (PC)
131
  Dustin Duncan
Yorkton   Greg Ottenbreit
4,584
Greg Olson
1,432
Aaron Sinclair
184
Chad Gregoire
118
  Greg Ottenbreit

Saskatoon

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green PC
         
Saskatoon Centre   Brad Hoffmann
1,929
David Forbes
3,005
Roman Todos
203
Kathryn McDonald
129
  David Forbes
Saskatoon Churchill-Wildwood   Lisa Lambert
3,978
Tanya Dunn-Pierce
3,044
Chris Chovin
414
Colleen Kennedy
128
Vacant
Saskatoon Greystone
Saskatoon Eastview   Corey Tochor
4,169
Jesse Todd
3,198
Ana Ashraf
272
Shawn Setyo
170
  Corey Tochor
Saskatoon Fairview   Jennifer Campeau
2,951
Vicki Mowat
2,769
Shah Rukh
308
Debbie McGraw
89
  Jennifer Campeau
Saskatoon Meewasin   Roger Parent
3,500
Nicole White
2,977
Constance Sacher
307
Daeran Gall
148
  Roger Parent
Saskatoon Northwest   Gordon Wyant
4,514
Dennel Pickering
2,004
Eric Steiner
254
Nylissa Valentine
121
  Gordon Wyant
Saskatoon Nutana   Jamie Brandrick
2,474
Cathy Sproule
3,822
Robin Schneider
275
Jaime Fairley
190
  Cathy Sproule
Saskatoon Riversdale   Marv Friesen
2,432
Danielle Chartier
2,691
Robert Rudachyk
354
Julia MacKay
107
  Danielle Chartier
Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland   Paul Merriman
4,482
Zaigham Kayani
2,003
James Gorin
303
Evangeline Godron
127
Jeff Wortman
122
  New District
Saskatoon Southeast   Don Morgan
5,247
Michael Karras
2,169
Pradipta Das
225
Deanna Robilliard
104
  Don Morgan
Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota   Bronwyn Eyre
6,584
Steve Jimbo
2,300
Kevin Ber
377
Michelle Wendzina
149
  New District
Saskatoon University   Eric Olauson
3,080
Jennifer Bowes
2,732
Ezaz Jaseem
370
Garnet Hall
129
Rose Buscholl
101
  Paul Merriman
Saskatoon Sutherland
Saskatoon Westview   David Buckingham
3,892
Cam Broten
3,675
Naveed Anwar
240
Tammy McDonald
124
  Cam Broten
Saskatoon Massey Place
Saskatoon Willowgrove   Ken Cheveldayoff
6,603
Tajinder Grewal
2,196
Jason Gorin
229
Sarah Risk
129
  Ken Cheveldayoff
Saskatoon Silver Springs

Regina

Electoral District Candidates Incumbent
SK Party New Democratic Liberal Green Other
         
Regina Coronation Park   Mark Docherty
3,008
Ted Jaleta
2,861
Tara Jijian
245
Melvin Pylypchuk
103
Douglas Hudgin (Ind.)
70
  Mark Docherty
Regina Douglas Park   CJ Katz
2,531
Nicole Sarauer
3,242
Curt Schroeder
332
Victor Lau
401
  Russ Marchuk**
Regina Elphinstone-Centre   Bill Stevenson
1,351
Warren McCall
2,648
Patrick Denis
297
Dianna Holigroski
178
  Warren McCall
Regina Gardiner Park   Gene Makowsky
4,259
Faycal Haggui
2,459
Jesse Albanez
294
Liam Becker Lau
138
  Gene Makowsky
Regina Dewdney
Regina Lakeview   Dan Cooper
2,715
Carla Beck
4,358
Stewart Kerr
391
Larry Neufeld
251
  John Nilson**
Regina Northeast   Kevin Doherty
3,920
Kathleen O’Reilly
2,912
Hafeez Chaudhuri
186
Marlene Macfarlane
155
  Kevin Doherty
Regina Pasqua   Muhammad Fiaz
3,929
Heather McIntyre
3,631
Darrin Lamoureux
962
Mike Wright
186
Desmond Bilsky (PC)
174
New District
Regina Rochdale   Laura Ross
5,769
Brett Estey
3,554
Nadeem Islam
293
Billy Patterson
155
  Laura Ross
Regina Qu'Appelle Valley
Regina Rosemont   Kevin Dureau
3,101
Trent Wotherspoon
3,994
Reid Hill
162
Sara Piotrofsky
146
  Trent Wotherspoon
Regina University   Tina Beaudry-Mellor
3,418
Aleana Young
3,001
Silvia Volodko
401
Yordanos Tesfamariam
165
  Bill Hutchinson**
Regina South
Regina Walsh Acres   Warren Steinley
3,575
Gloria Patrick
2,976
Reina Sinclair
312
Leonie Williams
106
  Warren Steinley
Regina Wascana Plains   Christine Tell
6,107
Kaytlyn Criddle
2,525
Gulraiz Tariq
287
Jeremy O'Connor
153
Allen Mryglod (PC)
245
  Christine Tell

References

  1. ^ "Voter turnout figures for 28th Saskatchewan election released". Elections Saskatchewan. 2016-04-16. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  2. ^ "The Legislative Assembly Act, 2007" (PDF). The Queen's Printer (Saskatchewan). 2015. Retrieved April 4, 2016.
  3. ^ Grenier, Éric. "Poll Tracker: 2016 Saskatchewan provincial election". CBC Saskatchewan. CBC News. Retrieved 10 April 2016.
  4. ^ [1]
  5. ^ "Former agriculture minister and Sask. Party founder Bob Bjornerud to retire". Global Regina. Canadian Press. May 12, 2014. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
  6. ^ "Social Services Minister June Draude to retire". CTV Regina News. Canadian Press. April 30, 2014. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
  7. ^ "Veteran Sask. MLA Yogi Huyghebaert says he won't run again in 2016". CTV Regina News. Canadian Press. February 26, 2014. Retrieved July 22, 2014.
  8. ^ [2]
  9. ^ Jennifer Graham (April 28, 2014). "Deputy Premier Ken Krawetz set to retire after this term". Global Regina. Canadian Press. Retrieved June 11, 2014.
  10. ^ "Doreen Eagles will not seek re-election in Estevan". Estevan Mercury. December 17, 2014. Retrieved March 11, 2016.
  11. ^ "Longtime Sask. Party MLA Wayne Elhard won't seek re-election". CTV Regina News. 2015-04-29. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  12. ^ "Former education minister Russ Marchuk retiring". CTV Regina News. Retrieved December 16, 2015.
  13. ^ "Veteran NDP MLA John Nilson won't run in next election". CBC News. 2014-12-19. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  14. ^ "Bill Hutchinson loses nomination bid". CBC. 29 April 2015. Retrieved 2 August 2015.
  15. ^ "Darryl Hickie set to quit MLA post, rejoin police work in March". CBC News. 2015-02-13. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
  16. ^ "MLA Rob Norris returning to University of Saskatchewan". CBC News. 2015-12-18. Retrieved 2018-05-14.
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