Brazilian general election, 2018

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Brazilian general election, 2018
Brazil
← 2014 7 October 2018 (2018-10-07) (First round)
28 October 2018 (2018-10-28) (Second round)
2022 →

Brazil Blank Map light.svg

Incumbent President

Michel Temer
PMDB



The next Brazilian general elections are scheduled for October 2018, and will elect the President and Vice President, the National Congress, state Governors and Vice Governors and state Legislative Assemblies.

The previous presidential elections in Brazil were held in October 2014. Supported by the Workers' Party, Dilma Rousseff was re-elected in the second round of voting with 51.6% of the vote, against 48.4% for her main challenger, Aécio Neves of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party.[1] Rousseff was first elected in the 2010 elections, succeeding her political mentor, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who was in office from 2003 until 2011.

Later, on 3 December 2015, impeachment proceedings against Rousseff were officially accepted by the Chamber of Deputies.[2] On 12 May 2016, the Federal Senate temporarily suspended Rousseff's powers and duties for up to six months or until the Senate reached a verdict: to remove her from office if found guilty or to acquit her from the crimes charged.[3] Vice President Michel Temer, of the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party, assumed her powers and duties as Acting President of Brazil during the suspension.[4][5] On 31 August 2016, the Senate voted 61–20 in favor of impeachment, finding Rousseff guilty of breaking budgetary laws and removing her from office.[6][7] Vice President Temer succeeded Rousseff as the 37th President of Brazil.

Electoral system

Presidential elections

The President of Brazil is elected using the two-round system. Citizens may field their candidacies for the presidency, and participate in the general elections, which are held on the first Sunday in October (in this instance, 7 October 2018).[8] If the most-voted candidate takes more than 50% of the overall vote, he or she is declared elected. If the 50% threshold is not met by any candidate, a second round of voting is held on the last Sunday in October (in this instance, 28 October 2018). In the second round, only the two most-voted candidates from the first round may participate. The winner of the second round is elected President of Brazil.

Congressional elections

Two-thirds of the 81 members of the Federal Senate will be elected, the other third having been elected in 2014. Two candidates will be elected from each of the states using majority block voting, with voters able to cast two votes each.[9] All 513 members of the Chamber of Deputies will be elected, with candidates elected from 27 multi-member constituencies based on the states, varying in size from eight to 70 seats. The Chamber elections are held using open list proportional representation, with seats allocated using the simple quotient.[10] Voting is mandatory and abstainers can be fined.[9]

Presidential candidates

Potential candidates

Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB)

Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB)

Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB)

Democrats (DEM)

Democratic Labour Party (PDT)

Green Party (PV)

National Ecologic Party (PEN)

Party of the Republic (PR)

Podemos (PODE)

Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)

Social Christian Party (PSC)

Sustainability Network (REDE)

Workers' Party (PT)

Independents

  1. ^ On 20 September 2016, Lula was indicted on charges of corruption and money laundering and, if convicted, may be banned from running for office.[27]

Declined candidates

Opinion polls

Since the previous elections, various polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next presidential elections. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order, and include parties whose candidates frequently poll above 3% of the vote, as well as the incumbent President of Brazil, Michel Temer.

First round

Brazilian Opinion Polling 2015-2018.png

Polling Firm/Link Date(s)
administered
Sample
Size
PT PDT REDE PMDB PSDB PSC Currently
independent
Others Abst./
Undec.
CNT/MDA 13–16 September 2017 2,002 32.0%
(Lula)
4.6%
(Gomes)
11.4%
(Silva)
8.7%
(Alckmin)
19.4%
(Bolsonaro)
23.9%
32.7%
(Lula)
5.2%
(Gomes)
12.0%
(Silva)
9.4%
(Doria)
18.4%
(Bolsonaro)
22;3%
32.4%
(Lula)
5.3%
(Gomes)
12.1%
(Silva)
3.2%
(Neves)
19.8%
(Bolsonaro)
27,2%
DataPoder360 12–14 August 2017 2,088 3%
(Haddad)
8%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
9%
(Alckmin)
27%
(Bolsonaro)
45%
5%
(Haddad)
9%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
12%
(Doria)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
44%
32%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
3%
(Silva)
4%
(Alckmin)
25%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
31%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
3%
(Silva)
12%
(Doria)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
Vox Populi 29–31 July 2017 1,999 47%
(Lula)
3%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
6%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
48%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
4%
(Doria)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
24%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–27 July 2017 2,020 26.1%
(Lula)
4.5%
(Gomes)
7.0%
(Silva)
7.3%
(Alckmin)
20.8%
(Bolsonaro)
9.8%
(Barbosa)
4.1% 20.5%
25.8%
(Lula)
4.5%
(Gomes)
7.1%
(Silva)
12.3%
(Doria)
18.7%
(Bolsonaro)
8.7%
(Barbosa)
3.5% 19.6%
DataPoder360 9–10 July 2017 2,178 26%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
10%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
23%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
13%
(Doria)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
Datafolha 21–23 June 2017 2,771 3%
(Haddad)
22%
(Silva)
10%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
13%
(Barbosa)
8% 28%
30%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
6% 20%
30%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
10%
(Doria)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
6% 18%
30%
(Lula)
15%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
11%
(Barbosa)
6% 16%
29%
(Lula)
15%
(Silva)
9%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
10%
(Barbosa)
5% 17%
29%
(Lula)
14%
(Silva)
6%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
14%
(Moro)
5% 17%
9%
(Gomes)
22%
(Silva)
9%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
12%
(Barbosa)
7% 26%
12%
(Gomes)
27%
(Silva)
14%
(Doria)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
DataPoder360 17–19 June 2017 2,096 27%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
5%
(Silva)
7%
(Alckmin)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
43%
27%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
11%
(Doria)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
Vox Populi 2–4 June 2017 2,000 45%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
8%
(Silva)
4%
(Alckmin)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
45%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
4%
(Doria)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
46%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
1%
(Neves)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
Paraná Pesquisas 25–29 May 2017 2,022 3.1%
(Haddad)
6.7%
(Gomes)
14.9%
(Silva)
13.6%
(Doria)
17.2%
(Bolsonaro)
8.7%
(Barbosa)
7.4% 28.3%
25.4%
(Lula)
4.2%
(Gomes)
10.4%
(Silva)
6.4%
(Alckmin)
16.8%
(Bolsonaro)
8.1%
(Barbosa)
10.2% 18.5%
25.8%
(Lula)
4.3%
(Gomes)
11.1%
(Silva)
12.1%
(Doria)
16.1%
(Bolsonaro)
8.1%
(Barbosa)
3.1% 19.4%
DataPoder360 7–8 May 2017 2,157 25%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
7%
(Silva)
4%
(Alckmin)
21%
(Bolsonaro)
38%
27%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
6%
(Silva)
13%
(Doria)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
32%
Datafolha 26–27 April 2017 2,781 30%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
6%
(Alckmin)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
31%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
9%
(Doria)
13%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
30%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
14%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
8%
(Neves)
15%
(Bolsonaro)
4% 19%
11%
(Gomes)
25%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
16%
(Bolsonaro)
8% 33%
12%
(Gomes)
25%
(Silva)
11%
(Doria)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
7% 31%
DataPoder360 16–17 April 2017 2,058 24%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
8%
(Alckmin)
18%
(Bolsonaro)
34%
25%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
9%
(Silva)
13%
(Doria)
14%
(Bolsonaro)
33%
25%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
7%
(Neves)
19%
(Bolsonaro)
35%
Vox Populi 6–10 April 2017 2,000 45%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
6%
(Alckmin)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
45%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
6%
(Doria)
11%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
44%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
9%
(Neves)
11%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
Paraná Pesquisas 12–15 February 2017 2,020 22.9%
(Lula)
4.7%
(Gomes)
12.8%
(Silva)
3.8%
(Temer)
11.9%
(Alckmin)
12.2%
(Bolsonaro)
11.5%
(Barbosa)
1.9% 18.1%
23.3%
(Lula)
5.6%
(Gomes)
13.7%
(Silva)
4.3%
(Temer)
9.1%
(Doria)
11.9%
(Bolsonaro)
11.3%
(Barbosa)
1.6% 19.1%
22.6%
(Lula)
4.9%
(Gomes)
12.6%
(Silva)
3.8%
(Temer)
12.9%
(Neves)
12.0%
(Bolsonaro)
11.7%
(Barbosa)
2.0% 17.6%
CNT/MDA 8–11 February 2017 2,002 31.8%
(Lula)
5.3%
(Gomes)
12.1%
(Silva)
1%
(Alencar)
9.1%
(Alckmin)
11.7%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
30.5%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11.8%
(Silva)
3.7%
(Temer)
10.1%
(Neves)
11.3%
(Bolsonaro)
26.6%
32.8%
(Lula)
13.9%
(Silva)
12.1%
(Neves)
12%
(Bolsonaro)
29.2%
Vox Populi 10–14 December 2016 2,500 38%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
12%
(Silva)
10%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
37%
(Lula)
4%
(Gomes)
10%
(Silva)
13%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
Datafolha 7–8 December 2016 2,828 26%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
17%
(Silva)
4%
(Temer)
8%
(Alckmin)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
5% 26%
25%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
4%
(Temer)
11%
(Neves)
9%
(Bolsonaro)
5% 26%
25%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
16%
(Silva)
4%
(Temer)
9%
(Serra)
9%
(Bolsonaro)
5% 26%
CNT/MDA 13–16 October 2016 2,002 25.3%
(Lula)
8.4%
(Gomes)
14.0%
(Silva)
6.1%
(Temer)
13.4%
(Alckmin)
6.9%
(Bolsonaro)
25.9%
24.8%
(Lula)
7.4%
(Gomes)
13.3%
(Silva)
6.2%
(Temer)
15.7%
(Neves)
6.5%
(Bolsonaro)
26.1%
27.6%
(Lula)
16.5%
(Silva)
18.9%
(Neves)
7.9%
(Bolsonaro)
29.1%
Vox Populi 9–13 October 2016 2,000 35%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
13%
(Silva)
12%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
28%
34%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
11%
(Silva)
15%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
Vox Populi 29 July–1 August 2016 1,500 29%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
11%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
29%
28%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
15%
(Silva)
18%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
29%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
13%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
27%
Datafolha 14–15 July 2016 2,792 23%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
6%
(Temer)
8%
(Alckmin)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
5% 27%
22%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
17%
(Silva)
5%
(Temer)
14%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
4% 25%
23%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
17%
(Silva)
6%
(Temer)
11%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
5% 26%
Vox Populi June 2016 29%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
16%
(Neves)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
CNT/MDA 2–5 June 2016 2,002 22.3%
(Lula)
6.3%
(Gomes)
16.6%
(Silva)
6.2%
(Temer)
9.6%
(Alckmin)
6.2%
(Bolsonaro)
32.8%
22%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
14.8%
(Silva)
5.4%
(Temer)
15.9%
(Neves)
5.8%
(Bolsonaro)
30.1%
Vox Populi 9–12 April 2016 29%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
18%
(Silva)
17%
(Neves)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
23%
31%
(Lula)
23%
(Silva)
20%
(Neves)
26%
Datafolha 7–8 April 2016 2,779 22%
(Lula)
8%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
9%
(Alckmin)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
4% 24%
21%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
17%
(Neves)
8%
(Bolsonaro)
4% 22%
22%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
22%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
11%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
4% 24%
Paraná Pesquisas 3–6 April 2016 2,044 15.4%
(Lula)
6.7%
(Gomes)
24.7%
(Silva)
1.9%
(Temer)
18.3%
(Alckmin)
8.3%
(Bolsonaro)
6.1% 18.6%
15.7%
(Lula)
6.4%
(Gomes)
21.0%
(Silva)
1.9%
(Temer)
23.5%
(Neves)
8.4%
(Bolsonaro)
5.6% 17.6%
15.4%
(Lula)
6.9%
(Gomes)
24.8%
(Silva)
1.9%
(Temer)
18.0%
(Serra)
8.5%
(Bolsonaro)
5.8% 18.7%
Datafolha 17–18 March 2016 17%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
11%
(Alckmin)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
6% 27%
17%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
21%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
19%
(Neves)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
7% 24%
17%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
24%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
13%
(Serra)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
7% 25%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 February–2 March 2016 2,022 16.9%
(Lula)
6.5%
(Gomes)
22.3%
(Silva)
1.2%
(Paes)
16.6%
(Alckmin)
8.7%
(Bolsonaro)
7.9% 19.9%
16.8%
(Lula)
4.7%
(Gomes)
18.2%
(Silva)
0.8%
(Paes)
27.6%
(Neves)
8.4%
(Bolsonaro)
6.8% 16.7%
Datafolha 24–25 February 2016 20%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
12%
(Alckmin)
7%
(Bolsonaro)
5% 25%
20%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
24%
(Neves)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
4% 21%
21%
(Lula)
5%
(Gomes)
23%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
15%
(Serra)
6%
(Bolsonaro)
5% 24%
CNT/MDA 18–21 February 2016 2,002 19.7%
(Lula)
7.4%
(Gomes)
18.0%
(Silva)
13.8%
(Alckmin)
6.3%
(Bolsonaro)
34.8%
19.1%
(Lula)
5.8%
(Gomes)
14.7%
(Silva)
24.6%
(Neves)
6.1%
(Bolsonaro)
29.7%
19.7%
(Lula)
7.2%
(Gomes)
17.8%
(Silva)
14.5%
(Serra)
6.4%
(Bolsonaro)
34.4%
Datafolha 16–17 December 2015 22%
(Lula)
7%
(Gomes)
24%
(Silva)
1%
(Temer)
14%
(Alckmin)
5%
(Bolsonaro)
4% 23%
20%
(Lula)
6%
(Gomes)
19%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
27%
(Neves)
4%
(Bolsonaro)
3% 19%
Datafolha 25–26 November 2015 3,541 22%
(Lula)
28%
(Silva)
2%
(Paes)
18%
(Alckmin)
6% 23%
22%
(Lula)
21%
(Silva)
2%
(Paes)
31%
(Neves)
5% 19%
22%
(Lula)
28%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
18%
(Alckmin)
7% 24%
22%
(Lula)
21%
(Silva)
2%
(Temer)
31%
(Neves)
5% 19%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 October–2 November 2015 2,085 18.2%
(Lula)
6.1%
(Gomes)
24.3%
(Silva)
1.6%
(Temer)
22.6%
(Alckmin)
5.7%
(Bolsonaro)
1.4% 20.1%
17.1%
(Lula)
5.2%
(Gomes)
19.7%
(Silva)
1.5%
(Temer)
34.2%
(Neves)
5.3%
(Bolsonaro)
1.0% 16.0%
17.7%
(Lula)
6.0%
(Gomes)
23.8%
(Silva)
2.0%
(Temer)
25.5%
(Serra)
5.8%
(Bolsonaro)
1.4% 17.8%
CNT/MDA 20–24 October 2015 2,002 23.1%
(Lula)
27.8%
(Silva)
19.9%
(Alckmin)
29.2%
21.6%
(Lula)
21.3%
(Silva)
32.0%
(Neves)
25.1%
23.5%
(Lula)
27.9%
(Silva)
19.6%
(Serra)
29.0%
CNT/MDA 12–16 July 2015 2,002 24.9%
(Lula)
23.1%
(Silva)
21.5%
(Alckmin)
5.1%
(Bolsonaro)
25.4%
22.8%
(Lula)
15.6%
(Silva)
35.1%
(Neves)
4.6%
(Bolsonaro)
21.9%
25.0%
(Lula)
23.3%
(Silva)
21.2%
(Serra)
5.5%
(Bolsonaro)
25.0%
Datafolha 17–18 June 2015 2,840 26%
(Lula)
25%
(Silva)
3%
(Paes)
20%
(Alckmin)
5% 21%
25%
(Lula)
18%
(Silva)
2%
(Paes)
35%
(Neves)
4% 16%
Datafolha 9–10 April 2015 2,834 29%
(Lula)
14%
(Silva)
33%
(Neves)
13%
(Barbosa)
3% 9%
Paraná Pesquisas 26–31 March 2015 2,022 17.9%
(Lula)
24.3%
(Silva)
37.1%
(Neves)
20.6%
16.4%
(Rousseff)
27.6%
(Silva)
39.2%
(Neves)
16.8%
2014 election 5 October 2014 115,122,611 41.6%
(Rousseff)
33.6%
(Neves)
0.8%
(Pereira)
2.7% 19.4%

Second round

Polling Firm/Link Date(s)
administered
Sample
Size
PT PDT REDE PMDB PSDB PSC Currently
independent
Abst./
Undec.
CNT/MDA 13–16 September 2017 2,002 39.8%
(Lula)
25.8%
(Silva)
34.4%
40.6%
(Lula)
23.2%
(Alckmin)
36.2%
41.6%
(Lula)
25.2%
(Doria)
33.2%
41.8%
(Lula)
14.8%
(Neves)
43.4%
40.5%
(Lula)
28.5%
(Bolsonaro)
31.0%
28.4%
(Silva)
23.6%
(Alckmin)
48.0%
30.5%
(Silva)
22.7%
(Doria)
46.8%
33.6%
(Silva)
13.0%
(Neves)
53.4%
29.2%
(Silva)
27.9%
(Bolsonaro)
42.9%
23.8%
(Alckmin)
28.0%
(Bolsonaro)
48.2%
23.9%
(Doria)
28.5%
(Bolsonaro)
47.6%
13.9%
(Neves)
32.0%
(Bolsonaro)
54.1%
Vox Populi 29–31 July 2017 1,999 52%
(Lula)
15%
(Silva)
33%
52%
(Lula)
15%
(Alckmin)
34%
53%
(Lula)
15%
(Doria)
33%
53%
(Lula)
17%
(Bolsonaro)
30%
Paraná Pesquisas 24–27 July 2017 2,020 36.3%
(Lula)
29.0%
(Silva)
34.7%
39.0%
(Lula)
26.9%
(Alckmin)
34.1%
38.5%
(Lula)
32.2%
(Doria)
29.3%
38.7%
(Lula)
32.3%
(Bolsonaro)
29.1%
37.1%
(Lula)
31.1%
(Barbosa)
31.8%
Datafolha 21–23 June 2017 2,771 40%
(Lula)
40%
(Silva)
20%
45%
(Lula)
32%
(Alckmin)
24%
45%
(Lula)
34%
(Doria)
20%
45%
(Lula)
32%
(Bolsonaro)
22%
42%
(Lula)
44%
(Moro)
14%
31%
(Gomes)
34%
(Alckmin)
36%
34%
(Gomes)
32%
(Doria)
34%
49%
(Silva)
27%
(Bolsonaro)
25%
Vox Populi 2–4 June 2017 2,000 50%
(Lula)
15%
(Silva)
36%
52%
(Lula)
11%
(Alckmin)
37%
51%
(Lula)
13%
(Doria)
36%
53%
(Lula)
5%
(Neves)
43%
Datafolha 26–27 April 2017 2,781 38%
(Lula)
41%
(Silva)
31%
43%
(Lula)
29%
(Alckmin)
28%
43%
(Lula)
32%
(Doria)
25%
43%
(Lula)
27%
(Neves)
30%
43%
(Lula)
31%
(Bolsonaro)
26%
40%
(Lula)
42%
(Moro)
18%
Vox Populi 6–10 April 2017 2,000 49%
(Lula)
19%
(Silva)
32%
51%
(Lula)
17%
(Alckmin)
32%
53%
(Lula)
16%
(Doria)
31%
50%
(Lula)
17%
(Neves)
33%
CNT/MDA 8–11 February 2017 2,002 38.9%
(Lula)
27.4%
(Silva)
28%
42.9%
(Lula)
19.0%
(Temer)
38.1%
39.7%
(Lula)
26.5%
(Neves)
33.8%
34.4%
(Silva)
16.8%
(Temer)
48.8%
28.3%
(Silva)
28.6%
(Neves)
43.1%
13.1%
(Temer)
34.1%
(Neves)
52.8%
Vox Populi 10–14 December 2016 2,500 42%
(Lula)
21%
(Silva)
37%
45%
(Lula)
20%
(Alckmin)
35%
43%
(Lula)
20%
(Neves)
37%
Datafolha 7–8 December 2016 2,828 34%
(Lula)
43%
(Silva)
23%
38%
(Lula)
34%
(Alckmin)
28%
38%
(Lula)
34%
(Neves)
28%
37%
(Lula)
35%
(Serra)
27%
48%
(Silva)
25%
(Alckmin)
27%
47%
(Silva)
25%
(Neves)
28%
47%
(Silva)
27%
(Serra)
26%
CNT/MDA 13–16 October 2016 2,002 33.2%
(Lula)
35.8%
(Silva)
31.0%
37.3%
(Lula)
28.5%
(Temer)
34.2%
33.8%
(Lula)
37.1%
(Neves)
29.1%
38.1%
(Silva)
23.7%
(Temer)
38.2%
29.5%
(Silva)
35.4%
(Neves)
35.1%
16.4%
(Temer)
38.2%
(Neves)
45.4%
Datafolha 14–15 July 2016 2,792 32%
(Lula)
44%
(Silva)
24%
36%
(Lula)
38%
(Alckmin)
26%
36%
(Lula)
38%
(Neves)
26%
35%
(Lula)
40%
(Serra)
26%
47%
(Silva)
27%
(Alckmin)
25%
46%
(Silva)
28%
(Neves)
26%
46%
(Silva)
30%
(Serra)
25%
CNT/MDA 2–5 June 2016 2,002 28.9%
(Lula)
35%
(Silva)
36.1%
31.7%
(Lula)
27.3%
(Temer)
41%
29.9%
(Lula)
34.3%
(Neves)
35.8%
33.7%
(Silva)
20.9%
(Temer)
45.4%
28%
(Silva)
29.7%
(Neves)
42.3%
15.8%
(Temer)
32.3%
(Neves)
51.9%
Paraná Pesquisas 28 February–2 March 2016 2,022 22.6%
(Lula)
53.5%
(Neves)
24.0%
36.1%
(Silva)
41.7%
(Neves)
22.2%
CNT/MDA 18–21 February 2016 2,002 28.2%
(Lula)
29.1%
(Gomes)
42.7%
26.3%
(Lula)
36.6%
(Silva)
37.1%
27.5%
(Lula)
40.6%
(Neves)
31.9%
16.7%
(Gomes)
43.1%
(Neves)
40.2%
26.6%
(Silva)
38.4%
(Neves)
35.0%
24.0%
(Gomes)
33.0%
(Silva)
43.0%
Datafolha 25–26 November 2015 3,541 31%
(Lula)
52%
(Silva)
16%
34%
(Lula)
45%
(Alckmin)
21%
32%
(Lula)
51%
(Neves)
17%
49%
(Silva)
33%
(Alckmin)
18%
41%
(Silva)
42%
(Neves)
16%
Paraná Pesquisas October 2015 24.3%
(Lula)
56.7%
(Neves)
19.0%
34.1%
(Silva)
47.7%
(Neves)
18.2%
CNT/MDA 20–24 October 2015 2,002 30.2%
(Lula)
36.4%
(Alckmin)
33.4%
28.3%
(Lula)
45.9%
(Neves)
25.8%
30.9%
(Lula)
35.2%
(Serra)
33.9%
39.7%
(Silva)
25.9%
(Alckmin)
34.4%
32.9%
(Silva)
37.7%
(Neves)
29.4%
39.6%
(Silva)
26.8%
(Serra)
33.6%
Paraná Pesquisas August 2015 28.3%
(Lula)
54.7%
(Neves)
17.0%
35.2%
(Silva)
49.2%
(Neves)
15.7%
Ibope 15–19 August 2015 2,002 37%
(Lula)
41%
(Alckmin)
23%
31%
(Lula)
50%
(Neves)
19%
36%
(Lula)
43%
(Serra)
21%
CNT/MDA 12–16 July 2015 2,002 32.3%
(Lula)
39.9%
(Alckmin)
27.8%
28.5%
(Lula)
49.6%
(Neves)
21.9%
31.8%
(Lula)
40.3%
(Serra)
27.9%
Ibope 13–17 June 2015 2,002 39%
(Lula)
40%
(Alckmin)
21%
33%
(Lula)
48%
(Neves)
18%
Paraná Pesquisas 26–31 March 2015 2,022 27.2%
(Lula)
51.5%
(Neves)
21.4%
19.4%
(Rousseff)
57.2%
(Neves)
23.4%
2014 election 26 October 2014 112,683,879 51.6%
(Rousseff)
48.4%
(Neves)
21.1%

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