Accelerating expansion of the universe
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The accelerating expansion of the universe is the observation that the universe appears to be expanding at an increasing rate,^{[1]}^{[2]}^{[3]} so that the velocity at which a distant galaxy is receding from the observer is continuously increasing with time.^{[4]}
The accelerated expansion was discovered in 1998, by two independent projects, the Supernova Cosmology Project and the HighZ Supernova Search Team, which both used distant type Ia supernovae to measure the acceleration.^{[5]}^{[6]}^{[7]} The idea was that these type 1a supernovae all have almost the same intrinsic brightness (a standard candle). Since objects that are further away appear dimmer, we can use the observed brightness of these supernovae to measure the distance to them. The distance can then be compared to the supernovae's cosmological redshift, which measures how fast the supernovae are receding from us.^{[8]} The unexpected result was that the universe seems to be expanding at an accelerating rate. Cosmologists at the time expected that the expansion would be decelerating due to the gravitational attraction of the matter in the universe. Three members of these two groups have subsequently been awarded Nobel Prizes for their discovery.^{[9]} Confirmatory evidence has been found in baryon acoustic oscillations, and in analyses of the clustering of galaxies.
The expansion of the universe is thought to have been accelerating since the universe entered its darkenergydominated era roughly 5 billion years ago.^{[10]}^{[notes 1]} Within the framework of general relativity, an accelerating expansion can be accounted for by a positive value of the cosmological constant Λ, equivalent to the presence of a positive vacuum energy, dubbed "dark energy". While there are alternative possible explanations, the description assuming dark energy (positive Λ) is used in the current standard model of cosmology, which also includes cold dark matter (CDM) and is known as the LambdaCDM model.
Contents
Background
In the decades since the detection of cosmic microwave background (CMB) in 1965,^{[11]} the Big Bang model has become the most accepted model explaining the evolution of our universe. The Friedmann equation defines how the energy in the universe drives its expansion.
where Κ represents the curvature of the universe, a(t) is the scale factor, ρ is the total energy density of the universe, and H is the Hubble parameter.^{[12]}
We define a critical density
and the density parameter
We can then rewrite the Hubble parameter as
where the four currently hypothesized contributors to the energy density of the universe are curvature, matter, radiation and dark energy.^{[13]} Each of the components decreases with the expansion of the universe (increasing scale factor), except perhaps the dark energy term. It is the values of these cosmological parameters which physicists use to determine the acceleration of the universe.
The acceleration equation describes the evolution of the scale factor with time
where the pressure P is defined by the cosmological model chosen. (see explanatory models below)
Physicists at one time were so assured of the deceleration of the universe's expansion that they introduced a socalled deceleration parameter q_{0}.^{[14]}^{[page needed]} Current observations point towards this deceleration parameter being negative.
Evidence for acceleration
To learn about the rate of expansion of the universe we look at the magnituderedshift relationship of astronomical objects using standard candles, or their distanceredshift relationship using standard rulers. We can also look at the growth of largescale structure, and find that the observed values of the cosmological parameters are best described by models which include an accelerating expansion.
Supernova observation
The first evidence for acceleration came from the observation of Type Ia supernovae, which are exploding white dwarfs that have exceeded their stability limit. Because they all have similar masses, their intrinsic luminosity is standardizable. Repeated imaging of selected areas of the sky is used to discover the supernovae, then followup observations give their peak brightness, which is converted into a quantity known as luminosity distance (see distance measures in cosmology for details).^{[15]} Spectral lines of their light can be used to determine their redshift.
For supernovae at redshift less than around 0.1, or light travel time less than 10 percent of the age of the universe, this gives a nearly linear distance–redshift relation due to Hubble's law. At larger distances, since the expansion rate of the universe has changed over time, the distanceredshift relation deviates from linearity, and this deviation depends on how the expansion rate has changed over time. The full calculation requires computer integration of the Friedmann equation, but a simple derivation can be given as follows: the redshift z directly gives the cosmic scale factor at the time the supernova exploded.
So a supernova with a measured redshift z = 0.5 implies the universe was 1/1 + 0.5 = 2/3 of its present size when the supernova exploded. In an accelerating universe, the universe was expanding more slowly in the past than it is today, which means it took a longer time to expand from two thirds its present size to its present size, compared to a nonaccelerating universe with the same presentday value of the Hubble constant. This results in a larger lighttravel time, larger distance and fainter supernovae, which corresponds to the actual observations. Adam Riess et al. found that "the distances of the highredshift SNe Ia were, on average, 10% to 15% farther than expected in a low mass density Ω_{M} = 0.2 universe without a cosmological constant".^{[16]} This means that the measured highredshift distances were too large, compared to nearby ones, for a decelerating universe.^{[17]}
Baryon acoustic oscillations
In the early universe before recombination and decoupling took place, photons and matter existed in a primordial plasma. Points of higher density in the photonbaryon plasma would contract, being compressed by gravity until the pressure became too large and they expanded again.^{[14]}^{[page needed]} This contraction and expansion created vibrations in the plasma analogous to sound waves. Since dark matter only interacts gravitationally it stayed at the centre of the sound wave, the origin of the original overdensity. When decoupling occurred, approximately 380,000 years after the Big Bang,^{[18]} photons separated from matter and were able to stream freely through the universe, creating the cosmic microwave background as we know it. This left shells of baryonic matter at a fixed radius from the overdensities of dark matter, a distance known as the sound horizon. As time passed and the universe expanded, it was at these anisotropies of matter density where galaxies started to form. So by looking at the distances at which galaxies at different redshifts tend to cluster, it is possible to determine a standard angular diameter distance and use that to compare to the distances predicted by different cosmological models.
Peaks have been found in the correlation function (the probability that two galaxies will be a certain distance apart) at 100 h^{−1} Mpc,^{[13]} indicating that this is the size of the sound horizon today, and by comparing this to the sound horizon at the time of decoupling (using the CMB), we can confirm that the expansion of the universe is accelerating.^{[19]}
Clusters of galaxies
Measuring the mass functions of galaxy clusters, which describe the number density of the clusters above a threshold mass, also provides evidence for dark energy^{[further explanation needed]}.^{[20]} By comparing these mass functions at high and low redshifts to those predicted by different cosmological models, values for w and Ω_{m} are obtained which confirm a low matter density and a non zero amount of dark energy.^{[17]}
Age of the universe
Given a cosmological model with certain values of the cosmological density parameters, it is possible to integrate the Friedmann equations and derive the age of the universe.
By comparing this to actual measured values of the cosmological parameters, we can confirm the validity of a model which is accelerating now, and had a slower expansion in the past.^{[17]}
Gravitational waves as standard sirens
Recent discoveries of gravitational waves through LIGO and VIRGO ^{[21]}^{[22]}^{[23]} not only confirmed Einstein's predictions but also opened a new window into the universe. These gravitational waves can work as sort of standard sirens to measure the expansion rate of the universe. Abbot et al. 2017 measured the Hubble constant value to be approximately 70 kilometres per second per megaparsec.^{[21]} The amplitudes of the strain 'h' is dependent on the masses of the objects causing waves, distances from observation point and gravitational waves detection frequencies. The associated distance measures are dependent on the cosmological parameters like the Hubble Constant for nearby objects^{[21]} and will be dependent on other cosmological parameters like the dark energy density, matter density, etc. for distant sources.^{[24]}^{[23]}
Explanatory models
Dark energy
The most important property of dark energy is that it has negative pressure which is distributed relatively homogeneously in space.
where c is the speed of light and ρ is the energy density. Different theories of dark energy suggest different values of w, with w < −1/3 for cosmic acceleration (this leads to a positive value of ä in the acceleration equation above).
The simplest explanation for dark energy is that it is a cosmological constant or vacuum energy; in this case w = −1. This leads to the LambdaCDM model, which has generally been known as the Standard Model of Cosmology from 2003 through the present, since it is the simplest model in good agreement with a variety of recent observations. Riess et al. found that their results from supernovae observations favoured expanding models with positive cosmological constant (Ω_{λ} > 0) and a current acceleration of the expansion (q_{0} < 0).^{[16]}
Phantom energy
Current observations allow the possibility of a cosmological model containing a dark energy component with equation of state w < −1. This phantom energy density would become infinite in finite time, causing such a huge gravitational repulsion that the universe would lose all structure and end in a Big Rip.^{[25]} For example, for w = −3/2 and H_{0} = 70 km·s^{−1}·Mpc^{−1}, the time remaining before the universe ends in this Big Rip is 22 billion years.^{[26]}
Alternative theories
There are many alternative explanations for the accelerating universe. Some examples are quintessence, a proposed form of dark energy with a nonconstant state equation, whose density decreases with time. Dark fluid is an alternative explanation for accelerating expansion which attempts to unite dark matter and dark energy into a single framework.^{[27]} Alternatively, some authors have argued that the universe expansion acceleration could be due to a repulsive gravitational interaction of antimatter^{[28]}^{[29]}^{[30]} or a deviation of the gravitational laws from general relativity. The measurement of the speed of gravity with the gravitational wave event GW170817 ruled out many modified gravity theories as alternative explanation to dark energy.^{[31]}^{[32]}^{[33]}
Another type of model, the backreaction conjecture,^{[34]}^{[35]} was proposed by cosmologist Syksy Räsänen:^{[36]} the rate of expansion is not homogenous, but we are in a region where expansion is faster than the background. Inhomogeneities in the early universe cause the formation of walls and bubbles, where the inside of a bubble has less matter than on average. According to general relativity, space is less curved than on the walls, and thus appears to have more volume and a higher expansion rate. In the denser regions, the expansion is retarded by a higher gravitational attraction. Therefore, the inward collapse of the denser regions looks the same as an accelerating expansion of the bubbles, leading us to conclude that the universe is expanding at an accelerating rate.^{[37]} The benefit is that it does not require any new physics such as dark energy. Räsänen does not consider the model likely, but without any falsification, it must remain a possibility. It would require rather large density fluctuations (20%) to work.^{[36]}
A final possibility is that dark energy is an illusion caused by some bias in measurements. For example, if we are located in an emptierthanaverage region of space, the observed cosmic expansion rate could be mistaken for a variation in time, or acceleration.^{[38]}^{[39]}^{[40]}^{[41]} A different approach uses a cosmological extension of the equivalence principle to show how space might appear to be expanding more rapidly in the voids surrounding our local cluster. While weak, such effects considered cumulatively over billions of years could become significant, creating the illusion of cosmic acceleration, and making it appear as if we live in a Hubble bubble.^{[42]}^{[43]}^{[44]} Yet other possibilities are that the accelerated expansion of the universe is an illusion caused by the relative motion of us to the rest of the universe,^{[45]}^{[46]} or that the supernovae sample size used wasn't large enough.^{[47]}^{[48]}
Theories for the consequences to the universe
As the universe expands, the density of radiation and ordinary dark matter declines more quickly than the density of dark energy (see equation of state) and, eventually, dark energy dominates. Specifically, when the scale of the universe doubles, the density of matter is reduced by a factor of 8, but the density of dark energy is nearly unchanged (it is exactly constant if the dark energy is a cosmological constant).^{[14]}^{[page needed]}
In models where dark energy is a cosmological constant, the universe will expand exponentially with time from now on, coming closer and closer to a de Sitter spacetime. This will eventually lead to all evidence for the Big Bang disappearing, as the cosmic microwave background is redshifted to lower intensities and longer wavelengths. Eventually its frequency will be low enough that it will be absorbed by the interstellar medium, and so be screened from any observer within the galaxy. This will occur when the universe is less than 50 times its current age, leading to the end of cosmology as we know it as the distant universe turns dark.^{[49]}
A constantly expanding universe with nonzero cosmological constant has mass density decreasing over time, to an undetermined point when zero matter density is reached. All matter (electrons, protons and neutrons) would ionize and disintegrate, with objects dissipating away.^{[50]}
Alternatives for the ultimate fate of the universe include the Big Rip mentioned above, a Big Bounce, Big Freeze, Big Crunch or possible proton decay.
See also
Notes

^ ^{[10]} Frieman, Turner & Huterer (2008) p. 6: "The Universe has gone through three distinct eras: radiationdominated, z ≳ 3000; matterdominated, 3000 ≳ z ≳ 0.5; and darkenergydominated, z ≲ 0.5. The evolution of the scale factor is controlled by the dominant energy form: a(t) ∝ t^{2/3}(1 + w) (for constant w). During the radiationdominated era, a(t) ∝ t^{1/2}; during the matterdominated era, a(t) ∝ t^{2/3}; and for the dark energydominated era, assuming w = −1, asymptotically a(t) ∝ exp(Ht)."
p. 44: "Taken together, all the current data provide strong evidence for the existence of dark energy; they constrain the fraction of critical density contributed by dark energy, 0.76 ± 0.02, and the equationofstate parameter, w ≈ −1 ± 0.1 (stat) ± 0.1 (sys), assuming that w is constant. This implies that the Universe began accelerating at redshift z ∼ 0.4 and age t ∼ 10 Gyr. These results are robust – data from any one method can be removed without compromising the constraints – and they are not substantially weakened by dropping the assumption of spatial flatness."
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